Majority of Luos live in Nyanza, Western and Nairobi. In 2022, 2.7 million Luos are registered as voters. Out of this number, at least 1.8 live in Nyanza.
Here are the counties dominated by Luos in Kenya:
BUSIA 406,569(over 30%)
SIAYA 518,056
KISUMU 616,871
HOMA BAY 537,108
MIGORI 454,954
In Nairobi there are about 600,000 Luo registered voters. In Western more than 500,000 Luo voters exist. In Mombasa, at least 200,000 Luos are registered as voters.
Since Raila is a candidate, more than 95% of the Luos will vote for Raila, meaning that he will get at least 2.5 million votes from the Luo community.Raila will also get more than 80% votes from Nyamira and Kisii counties.
Raila is expected to get the following number of votes in 2022:
Nyanza—1.8 million
Western—800,000
Nairobi—1 million
Coast—1 million
Eastern—1.2 million
Mount Kenya—1.5 million
Rift Valley—1 million
North Eastern—300,000
In total,Raila will get 8 million to 8.5 million votes.