Morara Kebaso has prophesied how President Ruto will win in 2027
POLITICAL PROPHECY
FIRST SCENARIO
What will the Youth do?
Sometime this year or next year they will realize that these old politicians are just using them. None of these old politicians intends any change because the current system is beneficial to the corrupt government and the crooked opposition as it is. Government is stealing, opposition stole and is getting contracts in the current government.
The frontline youth leaders will form a youth alliance which will consolidate all the youthful voters into a block of 15 million strong. They will win top positions and key positions across the country. This will be the beginning of the end for tribalism politics.
What will the same old politicians do?
1. Matiangi: with the financing of Uhuru will raid mount Kenya vote. Kikuyus will be told that Gachagua is impeached and cannot run for office therefore they should board the Jubilee bus and leave Gachagua who is not headed anywhere. This will revive the rivalry between Gachagua and Uhuru and may divide the Kikuyu temporalily.
2. Gachagua will win his case in court and will be eligible to run thus complicating Matiangi capture of Kikuyu vote. Since tribally thinking voters don’t care about integrity or corruption, he will gather larger support as mtu wetu than Matiangi.
3. Uhuru has invested alot of money in DAP-K, Natembeya and Eugene. He appointed them to office and even funded campaigns. They will most likely work with Matiangi.
4. Raila, Mudavadi and Wetangula will not want to loose their western block. They will approach Ruto to handle Eugene and Natembeya, therefore we should expect an impeachment motion in Transnzoia and a possible arrest by EACC on Eugene on the dams scandal. Transnzoia county has 12 UDA MCAs and 3 ODM MCAs making up 15 out of a total of 25 MCAs.
Whether the plan will succeed or fail will depend on how much public support they can gather. Tribal thinking kenyans always defend their leaders even in the face of corruption allegations therefore the plan might flop.
5. Kalonzo will crossover to Ruto.
6. Martha will be left at the junction
7. Linturi will go with Gachagua for survival.
8. Muturi will go with Uhuru’s interests.
9. Gachagua might in the end form an alliance with the Uhuru financed coalition to consolidate the mount Kenya vote. The MOU will offer Gachagua a half of government if they win.
8. Ruto will buy and armtwist any tribal kingpin that he wants on his side. Its simple, most kingpins were corrupt leaders with files at the EACC, he will threaten them then offer money for their greed. The cashout purchase price for kingpins will be higher since Ruto has more money to spend.
9. Inspite of all these tribal coalitions. The youth alliance mentioned in paragraph one will still win the election because they are the only ones who will campaign on a vision as compared to the rest who will be selling mtu wetu agenda.
Example
Total Registered Voters: 25 Million
Turnout: 85%
Ruto coalition: 4,200,000
Opposition coalition: 5,700,000
Youth coalition: 11,500,000
Four million people will still believe in Ruto and 5.7 million people will still believe in tribalism as a means to power wile 11.5 million people will buy the new dream.
SECOND SCENARIO
The GenZ movement disintegrates. Every youth with ambition slides back to their tribal baseline and the youth fail to turn out to vote because there is nothing new they are coming to vote for.
Matiangi being Uhuru’s project and Uhuru being Ruto’s business partner can be used by thw two to consolidate the opposition by using the media and social media to build hype around him. He will handover victory to Ruto and Uhuru shares half government with Raila, the rest of the opposition leaders are used and dumped.
In the First Scenario a youth alliance wins. In Second Scenario Ruto wins. There is no scenario where opposition wins because no one can win against Ruto on the basis of tribal coalition. Its either the Youth win or Ruto Wins.
