Uhuru must get at least 50 % of the total votes cast in order to beat Raila. Assuming that IEBC does not alter the voter register,this is how the votes will be distributed across 10 regions.
Rift Valley – 4,654,900
Central – 2,912,658
Nairobi – 2,304,386
Western – 1,922,166
Luo Nyanza – 1,861,730
(Kisii) Nyanza- 824,430
Coast – 1,733,722
Upp. Eastern -1,460,657
Lower Eastern -1,526,003
N/Eastern – 456,880
For Uhuru to trounce Raila in round one, he has to garner these votes from each region.
REGION | VOTES |
Rift Valley | 3,000,000 |
Central | 2,800,000 |
Western | 300,000 |
Luo Nyanza | 100,000 |
Kisii & Nyamira | 300,000 |
Coast | 300,000 |
Upper Eastern | 1,000,000 |
Lower Eastern | 200,000 |
Nairobi | 1,000,000 |
North Eastern | 200,000 |
Total Votes | 9.1 Million |
Since voter turnout is expected to cross the 90 % mark, we expect at least 18 million Kenyans to cast their votes. For Uhuru to succeed in his re-election campaign, he should garner at least 9.1 million votes.do you think it’s possible?