Jubilee and CORD are the main political parties in Kenya. As you know, each party has several counties they call strongholds, and the two parties share the counties almost equally.
If elections were held today, this is how the following counties will vote.
JUBILEE CORE
- Meru
- Tharaka nithi
- Embu
- Nyandarua
- Nyeri
- Kirinyaga
- Muranga
- Kiambu
- Laikipia
- Nakuru
- Uasin gishu
- Elgeyo marakwet
- Nandi
- Baringo
- Kericho
- Bomet
- West pokot
NASA CORE:
- Mombasa
- Kwale
- Kilifi
- Tana river
- Lamu
- Taita taveta
- Kitui
- Machakos
- Makueni
- Kakamega
- Vihiga
- Bungoma
- Busia
- Siaya
- Kisumu
- Homa bay
- Migori
- Kajaido
- Kisii
- Nyamira
SWING COUNTIES:
These are the counties which the two coalitions will share the votes, almost equally.
- Nairobi
- Garissa
- Wajir
- Mandera
- Marsabit
- Isiolo
- Turkana
- Samburu
- Trans Nzoia
- Narok
Going by the accurate statistics above, CORD, which will soon be renamed “NASA”,is having advantage over Jubilee coalition-which means that the opposition movement will most likely win this year’s elections. Based on IEBC statistics, NASA will have a total of 8.1 million votes against Jubilee’s 7.5 million votes, that’s if 98 % of registered voters cast their votes.
We can also confidently inform you that CORD has eaten into Jubilee strongholds. Raila’s coalition has bragging rights over Narok,Kajiado,some parts of Trans Nzoia,Kisii,Nyamira,Several votes from South Rift, the entire Western Kenya,150,000 votes from Nakuru County, over 50,000 votes from Meru and the entire Coast Region.It’s now upon Raila to ensure the coalition does not disintegrate before elections.
