Despite statistics from IEBC showing that Jubilee strongholds registered more voters as compared to CORD strongholds, we have established that the total registered voters who will vote for Raila in 2017 are more than Uhuru’s subjects.
Let’s do the math; as of December 2016; Central had 2,401,000 and Nyanza 2,236,000. Rift Valley had 3,762,000, Coast 1,328,000, Western 1,618,000, Upper Eastern 1,140,000, Lower Eastern 1,252,000, N. Eastern 376,000 and Nairobi 1,843,000.
Jubilee (Uhuru):
-Central = 2,401,000… Rift valley (75% as per 2013) = 2,821,000… Upper Eastern = 1,140,000… NAIROBI (50%) = 921,000… N.Eastern (75%) = 282,000.
TOTAL ==> 7,565,000.
CORD/NASA (Raila):
-Nyanza = 2,236,000… R. Valley (25%) = 941,000… Lower Eastern 1,252,000… Western 1,618,000… Coast = 1.328,000… N.Eastern (25%) = 94,000… Nairobi = 921,000.
TOTAL ==> 8,390,000.
If you distribute the recent (1 week) registered in ongoing exercise, then Jubilee 410,000, CORD 415,000.
PS: 2013 Uhuru’s Kisii and Coast votes cancels with Raila’s Central and Upper Eastern votes (They both total about 200k).
This means that Raila has advantage over Uhuru with bragging numbers estimated to be 600,000.
